Universal hypothesis testing in the learning-limited regime
Proceedings of the IEEE International Symposium on Information Theory, Austin, TX, USA, June 2010
Abstract

Given training sequences generated by two distinct, but unknown distributions sharing a common alphabet, we seek a classifier that can correctly decide whether a third test sequence is generated by the first or second distribution using only the training data. To model `limited learning' we allow the alphabet size to grow and therefore probability distributions to change with the blocklength. We prove that a natural choice, namely a generalized likelihood ratio test, is universally consistent (has a probability of error tending to zero with the blocklength for all underlying distributions) when the alphabet size is sub-linear in the blocklength, but inconsistent for linear alphabet growth. For up-to quadratic alphabet growth, in a regime where all probabilities are of the same order, we prove the universally consistency of a new test and show there are no such tests when the alphabet grows quadratically or faster.